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MYTHBUSTER

DEBUNKING MYTHS ABOUT TORT SYSTEM COSTS

 

Every year, an insurance industry-consulting firm, Tillinghast–Towers Perrin, issues a report that claims to estimate what it calls the overall annual “cost” of the U.S. tort system, most recently $261 billion.  On the basis of this figure, it then calculates a so-called “tort tax,” supposedly representing tort system costs to each individual.1

 

These figures are bogus and its annual release is little more than a public relations gimmick used by the special interests behind the national “tort reform” movement.  In fact, true tort system costs are likely impossible to honestly calculate because court systems do not accurately track such costs. Tillinghast does not even attempt to examine them, as explained below. 

 

But taking one aspect of costs that has received some attention in recent years – total payouts in medical malpractice cases – it is clear how misleading Tillinghast’s figures can be.  Medical malpractice payouts, for injuries and deaths caused by medical negligence in the nation, have recently hovered between $5 billion and $6 billion annually.2  This is less than half of what Americans pay for dog and cat food each year.3

 

BY ITS OWN ADMISSION, TILLINGHAST’S FIGURES HAVE NO RELATION TO THE COSTS OF THE LEGAL SYSTEM.

 

TILLINGHAST FIGURES HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY DEBUNKED BY EXPERTS.  

 

 

January 2007

 

NOTES

1 In its 2006 Update on U.S. Tort Cost Trends released in December 2006 (the second report issued in 2006), Tillinghast says that even by its own bogus analysis, this “tort tax” figure is dropping.  Specifically, “The U.S. tort system cost $261 billion in 2005, which translates to $880 per person, or $4 per person less than in 2004.”  Tillinghast also says, U.S. tort costs grew by 0.5% in 2005 …. This was much lower than the growth rate of 5.7% in 2004, and was the smallest increase in tort costs since 1997.… The 0.5% rate of growth in tort costs in 2005 was less than overall economic growth of 6.3%. Since 1950, growth in tort costs has exceeded growth in GDP by an average of two to three percentage points. However, … the ratio of tort costs to GDP decreased in 2005 compared to 2003 and 2004.”

2 See, Americans for Insurance Reform, Stable Losses/Unstable Rates, 2004, http://www.insurance-reform.org/StableLosses04.pdf.

3 The Pet Food Institute puts these figures at $13 to $14 billion annually over the past few years. See http://www.petfoodinstitute.org/reference_pet_data.cfm

4 2006 Update on U.S. Tort Cost Trends at 10.

5 U.S. Tort Costs: 2004 Update, at 4.

6 2006 Update on U.S. Tort Cost Trends at 7.

7 Ibid.

8 Tillinghast admits, “[W]e recognize that more estimates of costs must be used when measuring on an incurred basis than when measuring on a paid basis.  Our use of incurred losses instead of paid losses has resulted in higher increases in tort costs in recent years.”  Ibid at 7.

9 See, e.g., Jay Angoff, Falling Claims and Rising Premiums in the Medical Malpractice Insurance Industry, July 2005, http://www.centerjd.org/ANGOFFReport.pdf; Americans for Insurance Reform, Stable Losses/Unstable Rates, 2004, http://www.insurance-reform.org/StableLosses04.pdfDespite this evidence, Tillinghast says “use of incurred costs does not overstate tort costs. To argue this, one would have to hypothesize that insurers knowingly set reserves too high. We do not believe this is the case.”  In fact, over reserving is a significant and well-documented problem.  For example, according to a June 24, 2002, Wall Street Journal front page investigative article, St. Paul, which until 2001 had 20 percent of the national med mal market, pulled out of the market after mismanaging its reserves.  The company set aside too much money in reserves to cover malpractice claims in the 1980s, so it “released” $1.1 billion in reserves, which flowed through its income statements and appeared as profits.  Seeing these profits, many new, smaller carriers came into the market.  Everyone started slashing prices to attract customers.  From 1995 to 2000, rates fell so low that they became inadequate to cover malpractice claims.  Many companies collapsed as a result.  St. Paul eventually pulled out, creating huge supply and demand problems for doctors in many states.  Christopher Oster and Rachel Zimmerman, “Insurers’ Missteps Helped Provoke Malpractice ‘Crisis,’” Wall Street Journal, June 24, 2002.

10 2006 Update on U.S. Tort Cost Trends at 10.

11 See, Economic Policy Institute, “The Frivolous Case for Tort Law Change,”  http://www.epi.org/content.cfm/bp157

12 “How Partisanship Puts Big Solutions Out of Reach,” Business Week editorial, March 14, 2005.

13 “Math Divides Critics as Startling Toll of  Torts is Added Up,” Wall Street Journal, March 13, 2006.

14 “’Tort Reform’ Battle: A Simple Case of Complexity,” Congressional Quarterly Weekly, Jan. 29, 2005.

15 Stephanie Mencimer, “False Alarm,” Washington Monthly, October 2004.

16  See, Daniel Capra, “An Accident and a Dream: Problems With the Latest Attack on the Civil Justice System,” 20 Pace L.Rev. 339 (2000).  Capra’s original report seems based on a 1998 publication entitled “An Accident and a Nightmare,” by Joanne Doroshow, Citizens for Corporate Accountability & Individual Rights (predecessor to Center for Justice & Democracy), on file with the Center for Justice & Democracy.